The EU now wants a negotiator in chief to talk to Vladimir Putin, and Alexander Stubb is the frontrunner. Alex unpacks Petr Pavel's claim that Trump's diesel deal rescued Russia, Lviv's year of the UPA angering Poland, Ursula von der Leyen's energy union push, the Putin Witkoff meeting and growing signs of a major US strike on Iran. If Brussels is so confident of victory, why does it suddenly need someone to call the Kremlin?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Von der Leyen links Ceuta migration to Russia
00:00:25 EU seeks a negotiator in chief for Putin
00:01:43 Why Stubb is the likely EU envoy
00:02:37 Pavel blames Trump's diesel deal
00:04:42 Oslo hot mic video with Zelensky, Stubb and Store
00:07:03 Lviv declares 2027 the year of the UPA
00:09:58 Poland demands answers over drones in Lithuania
00:11:46 Von der Leyen on migration and energy sanctions
00:15:10 Russian bombs target Kiev bridges
00:16:41 Putin and Witkoff meet in St Petersburg
00:18:54 Abu Dhabi trilateral talks set for November 10
00:21:33 Two meanings of the end is near
00:22:30 US and Israel prepare a major Iran strike
00:28:10 Macron in Qatar and student marches in Greece
00:30:57 Clown world with Trump and the American Ocean
Russia has made it clear there will be no concessions, with Sergei Ryabkov saying any deal must reflect the realities on the ground, Russia's constitution and a binding guarantee that Ukraine never joins NATO. Alexander explains why the Donbass for NATO trade is dead, why Moscow is playing for time before the Abu Dhabi talks, and what the strike on Kiev's South Bridge, the empty air defenses and the advances around Orekhov and Lyman reveal about where the conflict is heading. Is Washington even listening to what Putin told Witkoff?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Recap of the Putin Witkoff meeting
00:01:59 Ryabkov explains the St Petersburg talks
00:04:56 Changed realities and constitutional realities
00:09:40 No Donbass for NATO trade
00:15:44 Why talks are set for November 10
00:18:05 Does Witkoff grasp Putin's message
00:20:42 Trump's plan for Iran, APEC and peace by December
00:23:42 Lavrov on promises that bind no successor
00:29:02 The missing security guarantees document
00:35:52 Russia wants a binding neutrality treaty
00:39:20 Why Russia keeps negotiating
00:46:40 Telegraph admits time favors Russia
00:48:40 Why amateur diplomacy keeps failing
00:55:05 Massive Kiev strike hits the South Bridge
00:57:43 Poland admits it has no air defenses left
01:01:40 Surovikin and the cat and mouse strategy
01:06:46 The campaign against the Dnieper bridges
01:09:03 Kiev energy crisis and the substations
01:12:12 Zaporozhye, Orekhov and Lyman advances
01:18:16 Izium shelling, Iran strike and Abu Dhabi doubts
Trump & Israel are scrambling to launch a massive strike plan but Iran has other ideas. New reports suggest that Iran has blown up the attack but that hasn't stopped the masters of war in Washington and Tel Aviv from building up toward a new round of war that could begin at any moment. Former Lt. Colonel Anthony Aguilar and former CIA analyst Ray McGovern join to break it all down.
ISW--war amateurs. Big Three meeting idea source. Andrei Martyanov says he agrees with Marco Rubio that it is not unusual for the leaders of the three most powerful nuclear-armed nations to communicate, and that Rubio is right that there are three superpowers and the rest depends on what those three settle among themselves.
Vladimir Putin has dismissed the Oslo plan Steve Witkoff carried to St Petersburg, telling him the European and Kiev proposals offered little useful for ending the Ukraine conflict. Alexander explains why forcing Russia to choose between Donbas and Ukraine staying out of NATO was always doomed, why the November 10 trilateral talks will come with no ceasefire, and why recent Russian glide bomb strikes near the Kiev and Dnipro bridges look like rehearsals for something bigger as forces close in on Zaporozhye. With Zelensky refusing every concession and Biletsky now running the Donbas battle, is a negotiated settlement still possible at all?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Intro and the latest US push
00:01:40 Putin rejects the Witkoff proposals
00:03:09 How we got here: Anchorage and the drone offensive
00:07:43 Russia's air campaign cripples Ukraine
00:08:38 Glide bombs near the Kiev and Dnipro bridges
00:12:20 Europe asks Washington to reopen talks
00:15:10 The Trump Zelensky diesel dispute
00:19:57 Why Zelensky refuses every concession
00:25:22 Oslo meeting and the Donbas or NATO plan
00:28:55 Ushakov's readout of the St Petersburg talks
00:33:14 Talks set for November 10 with no ceasefire
00:37:46 A new European security architecture?
00:40:25 Lavrov on reversible US concessions
00:42:34 Why the meeting lasted three hours
00:44:46 Hubbard, diesel, Middle East and the APEC idea
00:47:01 Li Qiang in St Petersburg and the China factor
00:50:06 Kaja Kallas and the endless conflict option
00:52:16 Why Russia will return for the Kiev bridges
00:59:35 Zaporozhye front: Kamianske and Malokaterynivka
01:05:24 ISW numbers, Operation Vivaldi and Biletsky
Europe is finally ready to talk to Russia, but the two option offer reported by the Financial Times looks designed to be rejected. Alex walks through the Witkoff Oslo meeting with the E4, Zelensky lobbying US senators against Trump, Elon Musk distancing Starlink from Star Shield, plus curfews in France, Albania blaming Russia for its protests, the Kim Jong Un coma rumor and Christiane Amanpour leaving CNN. Why would Putin pick either door when Russia is already winning?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Europe ready to talk to Russia
00:01:13 FT reveals Europe's two options for Putin
00:03:47 Why Russia will reject a ceasefire and the NATO trade
00:06:26 Setting Russia up to say no and the next escalation
00:07:29 Starlink, Starshield and Musk distancing
00:09:33 Witkoff heads to Oslo to meet the E4 and Ukraine
00:12:43 Kushner joins virtually as US and Europe coordinate
00:14:52 Trump lashes out at Zelensky over leadership
00:17:04 Trump floats a Trump Xi Putin denuclearization meeting
00:20:43 Zelensky lobbies US senators against Trump
00:26:21 Republicans tie Pentagon funding to a tougher Russia stance
00:27:18 France curfews, Macron in the UAE and Italy deploys troops
00:29:31 Hegseth in Israel and talk of another Iran strike
00:30:48 Clown World: Albania protests and Rama blames Russia
00:34:28 Kim Jong Un coma rumor and Amanpour leaves CNN
Europe and Washington are quietly drafting a new offer for Moscow, and Russia is almost certain to say no. In this episode we break down the Financial Times report on Europe's two option plan, Witkoff's Oslo talks, the rumored Trump Putin Xi meeting at APEC, and why the public Trump Zelensky feud may be cover for coordinated escalation through Starlink and Star Shield. Is the West setting up Russia's rejection as the excuse for one last big round of escalation?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Russia grinding Ukraine down as Western diplomacy turns chaotic
00:00:48 Rumored Trump Xi Putin meeting at APEC in China
00:01:16 Witkoff in Oslo and a possible trip to Moscow
00:01:42 Financial Times reveals Europe's two option plan
00:02:59 Endgame since September and the West's push for a freeze
00:04:16 Ratcliffe threats and Witkoff Kushner offers rejected
00:06:47 Was the tripartite summit really Putin's idea?
00:09:07 Trump links the meeting to denuclearization
00:10:39 Why China won't want a three way meeting
00:12:30 Rassvet, Oreshnik and Ukraine's financial crisis
00:14:49 Trump Zelensky feud versus quiet US Europe coordination
00:18:46 Starlink, Star Shield and the intelligence sharing confusion
00:21:08 Kellogg plan, the summer drone offensive and Vietnam parallels
00:26:10 Zelensky lobbies US senators against Trump
00:32:05 Through the fog: Russia will say no
In the video I reference the Putin-Trump call on October 9th. I said "December 9th" multiple times. This is my mistake. I meant to say October 9th. My apologies for the error.
Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump may meet at the APEC summit in China to discuss Ukraine, and Zelensky is not invited. Alex breaks down the Wall Street Journal report, Trump's blunt Truth Social message to Zelensky after pausing Graham's sanctions, Russia's Rasvet guided strikes on western Ukraine, and Macron's speech blaming Trump for fuel prices before flying off to the Gulf. Is Europe's leadership running out of excuses as protests spread from Paris to Milan?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Xi, Putin and Trump to meet at APEC in China
00:04:05 Why Zelensky is not invited
00:06:48 Trump defends pausing Graham's sanctions bill
00:09:10 Trump on Iran and his blunt message to Zelensky
00:11:14 Witkoff and Kushner call and what Putin may propose
00:13:12 Zelensky blames the US in NBC interview
00:15:40 Russia hits western Ukraine using Rasvet
00:17:56 Kyiv strikes and the US warning claims
00:21:19 St Petersburg drone flight path via Lithuania
00:25:18 Macron's speech and the Celine Dion concert
00:29:38 Macron blames Trump and the Middle East
00:33:12 Macron leaves France for the Gulf
00:35:06 Italy's Crosetto dismisses public opinion
00:36:54 Trump endorses Netanyahu
00:38:49 Clown World: Zelensky's NBC interview
Scott Ritter tells Glenn Diesen that the largest drone attack on St. Petersburg did not exploit a hole in Russian air defenses so much as a corridor along Belarus, Poland, and the Baltic states, where intercepting the drones would put Russian assets into NATO airspace, and that the precision implies guidance beacons inside NATO countries. He says Zelensky made the quarrel with Donald Trump personal, a mistake he calls fatal, and that the split points to the collapse of Ukraine and, with it, of NATO and the European Union.
Big Three, real one. Stand-off arsenals. Andrei Martyanov says political and military elites have brought Europe to the end, with France convulsing, and that only the United States, China, and Russia will decide a relatively peaceful world, because Russia's standoff arsenal, used every day, is not comparable to what he says remains of U.S. munitions after the Iran war.
Description:
Donald Trump has waived Lindsey Graham's sanctions, shelving the 500% penalties on Russian oil. The episode argues the Graham-Blumenthal bill was a trap ahead of the midterms, while Zelensky arrives in Brussels asking for more money and warning of 20 million refugees. It also asks how the EU funded its 90 billion euro Ukraine loan, and whether Russia's frozen assets in Euroclear are being used as collateral.
The Duran, episode 2652.
0:00 Trump waives Lindsey Graham's sanctions
0:58 Why 500% sanctions on Russian oil was always a bad idea
3:11 Strait of Hormuz, Red Sea and the global energy crunch
4:13 Trump's waiver authority and why it is rational
5:12 Why did Trump let this bill get so far?
7:13 A neocon setup for a Putin puppet narrative
9:40 The tariff trap after the Supreme Court ruling
12:47 Blumenthal and Congress react with fury
14:27 Midterms, investigations and impeachment talk
16:32 Zelensky in Brussels asks for another 70 billion euros
18:30 Who is funding the 90 billion euro loan?
21:02 Merz and Sikorski refuse to hand frozen assets to the US
23:52 Are frozen assets being used as collateral?
26:05 How the asset freeze backfired on Europe
28:45 Zelensky warns of 20 million Ukrainian refugees
Alex Christoforou on protests in France, a drone attack toward St. Petersburg, and drones reported over Latvian and Estonian airspace.
The episode covers the Limoges tower and Marseille town hall fires, Macron staying out of sight, more EU money for Ukraine, Rubio's Starlink and Starshield denials, a Witkoff and Kushner plan to bring Russian gas back to Europe, and a Financial Times push to split Euroclear over Russian frozen assets.
Episode 2211
Timeline:
00:00:00 Zelensky on US intel sharing and Starlink limits
00:00:29 Violent protests sweep France
00:01:58 Limoges tower burns, Marseille town hall set ablaze
00:03:13 Macron in hiding ahead of national address
00:07:40 Nicusor Dan on EU migration talks and Ukraine money
00:11:22 Over 1,000 drones launched at Russia
00:14:15 Drones over Latvian and Estonian airspace
00:18:09 Rubio denies Starshield access for Ukraine
00:20:49 Witkoff and Kushner Russian gas deal for Europe
00:24:45 Deadly explosion at CFB Wainwright in Alberta
00:26:48 FT plan to split Euroclear over Russian frozen assets
The Duran on Dobropillia falling and Russia moving to encircle Kramatorsk and Slavyansk. The episode covers Gerasimov's battlefield update, the collapse of Ukraine's Operation Vivaldi near Liman, Putin's signal that talks with Zelensky are off the table, and depleted Patriot and THAAD stockpiles.
The Duran: Episode 2651
Timeline:
00:00:00 Dobropillia captured, Kramatorsk and Slavyansk next
00:01:37 Gerasimov confirms the fall of Dobropillia
00:03:35 Azov commander sacked, Aleksandrovka captured
00:05:02 Kharkov pocket cleared and Operation Vivaldi fails
00:06:52 Energy and Dnieper bridge strikes, Putin's orders
00:07:26 Putin and Peskov signal no negotiations with Zelensky
00:08:33 Ukraine without air defense and the Rassvet system
00:12:04 Russia outproduces the collective West
00:14:53 US Patriot and THAAD stockpiles depleted until 2030
00:17:31 Storm Shadows, Greek and Spanish Patriots, Trump's question
Military analyst Andrei Martyanov joins former CIA officer Larry Johnson to discuss Russia’s place in European civilization and the historical forces behind its confrontation with the West.
Paul Stonehill says that on the evening of February 9, 1913, people from Canada to Brazil watched 40 to 60 huge flaming spheres move slowly and in parallel, when falling satellites and rocket parts were still extremely rare. He then reads Russian press from the 1912–1913 wave, including objects that fort guns and searchlights could not bring down, and treats those reports as the same kind of sightings described today.
Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson, with Zulfiqar Ali on Transition Protocol, on why Trump's MOAB can't crack Iran's Pickaxe Mountain. Ali's sources in Islamabad say MBS asked Pakistan for help, repeatedly, and Pakistan said no. Johnson, who briefed a UN Security Council Arria-formula meeting on Wednesday, says Europe will start a war with Russia it will regret.
The show also covers what the MOAB can and cannot do, why Pakistan will not fight Ansar Allah for MBS, what Pakistani and Turkish officers told MBS about Israelis in his war room, how Johnson expects the war to end and China's role, and why diesel is short in a country that makes more than it uses.
The Islamabad decision, MBS's requests and the war-room account are the host's own sourcing and cannot be independently verified. Johnson's Europe and MBS forecasts are his analysis.
Timeline:
00:03:56 The MOAB: why an 11-ton air-burst bomb can't reach a facility under a mountain
00:10:21 No rescue: what Islamabad decided, per the host's sources
00:31:38 At the UN: the US tone shift, Nebenzia's answer, and Europe's hard line
Episode 2052. Alexander breaks down General Gerasimov's briefing to Putin, confirming the fall of Dobropillia, the capture of Oleksiievo Druzhkivka and Russian troops entering Druzhkivka as the pincers close around Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. He explains why the sacking of Azov commander Prokopenko, the stalled Operation Vivaldi and Putin's order to keep up strikes on bridges, rail and energy point to a deepening crisis for Ukraine, while Zelensky asks the EU for 155 billion euros and Trump waives Lindsey Graham's bone crushing sanctions. Is the battle for Kramatorsk about to begin?
Timeline:
00:00:00 A dramatic 24 hours in Ukraine
00:01:43 Gerasimov briefs Putin
00:02:53 Is Gerasimov credible?
00:05:10 Dobropillia falls
00:07:12 Why no flags in parts of Dobropillia
00:11:34 Oleksiievo Druzhkivka captured
00:14:11 Russians enter Druzhkivka
00:16:11 Azov commander Prokopenko sacked
00:17:39 Rybar: Biletsky rushed south
00:20:09 Operation Vivaldi stalls
00:23:30 Biletsky and Prokopenko outmatched
00:29:23 Velyka Mykhailivka and Serhiivka
00:33:10 Malokaterynivka, 5 km from Zaporizhzhia?
00:38:54 Kharkov cauldron cleared
00:42:11 Air campaign on bridges, rail and energy
00:43:53 Putin: strikes must continue
00:48:47 Geran drones, Rassvet and Musk
00:54:59 Zelensky asks EU for 155 billion
01:00:42 Zelensky's 20 million refugee warning
01:07:21 Trump waives Graham sanctions
Episode 2210. Putin has ordered Gerasimov to keep the strikes coming after the capture of Dobropillia, putting Kramatorsk and Sloviansk next in line in Donbass. Alex, walking the streets of Athens, breaks down why Trump put Lindsey Graham's bone crushing Russia sanctions on hold, the Patriot interceptor shortage that could last until 2030, and Zelensky's demand in Brussels for 155 billion along with a warning of 20 million refugees heading to Europe. How long can Ursula von der Leyen and the EU keep paying for Project Ukraine?
Timeline:
00:00:00 Dobropillia captured, Gerasimov frontline update
00:02:28 Putin orders strikes to continue
00:04:57 Kyiv blackouts and Ukraine out of Patriots
00:06:14 CBS: Patriot stocks not restored until 2030
00:08:40 Trump puts Graham sanctions bill on hold
00:11:23 Warren and Blumenthal react
00:13:02 What the sanctions bill would have done to oil prices
00:14:25 Trump: I'll release the details
00:15:41 Zelensky in Brussels asks for 155 billion
00:20:02 Zelensky praises EU leaders, Ursula's reaction
00:20:55 Zelensky's 20 million refugee warning
00:23:09 Piers Morgan reacts
00:24:13 Press secretary out after five days
00:26:21 Albania protests against Edi Rama
00:29:54 Clown World: Politico's EU briefing room mystery