Description:
As tensions around Iran continue to rise, voices inside the country offer a different picture about protests, sanctions, and outside pressure. Larry Johnson is joined by Prof. Mohammad Marandi and Nima Alkhorshid (Dialog Works) to break it down.
Timeline:
00:00 Back in Iran After 12 Years — Here’s What Changed
04:44 How Iran Survived Decades of Sanctions
15:44 How Persian-Language Media Fuels Unrest
20:03 Trump, Netanyahu, and Iran’s Unrest — How CIA–Mossad Regime Change Operation works
26:03 Iran's Case — How Illegal Wars Become ‘Necessary’
34:00 Daily Life in Iran Under Inflation
40:32 Iran Is a Battleground Between East and West
43:13 Iran’s Economic Future with China and Russia
49:58 What a War with Iran Would Actually Look Like
Larry Wilkerson tells Nima Alkhorshid that US and Israeli exercises over Iraq look like preparation for a strike on Iran, and that Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump have different aims in that war. He puts the chance that Iran tries to preempt, if it is convinced of the timing, at about 50/50.
Nima Alkhorshid asks Jacques Baud about a Wall Street Journal report that Saudi Arabia is short of interceptor missiles after daily Yemeni attacks, including cruise missiles that crossed more than 800 kilometers, one of them striking King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh. Baud says missiles have become the decisive weapon in this war of attrition and that the West has little left to offer after Ukraine and the Middle East.
Nima Alkhorshid says the Wall Street Journal and Kpler claim that 23 million barrels of crude oil are flowing through the Strait of Hormuz every 24 hours. Patrick Henningsen says he finds a return to pre-war volumes impossible, calls the figure likely disinformation ahead of the US elections, and says a Brent futures price near $108 a barrel is well below the $150 to $200 he says it costs to move a barrel from the dock into a refinery.
Nima Alkhorshid asks Larry Wilkerson about reports that King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh is closed until October 17 after missile strikes, and that Mohammed bin Salman is moving between bunkers over the risk of attacks on his palaces.
Wilkerson says the Houthis have become a competent military against an unprofessional Saudi force, that the House of Saud faces an existential threat, and that the United States has no coherent policy for the region.
Larry Johnson talks with Nima Alkhorshid on Dialogue Works about reported U.S. strikes on two military sites on Iran's Larak Island, near a key oil chokepoint.
Description:
Nima Alkhorshid of Dialogue Works speaks with Prof. Seyed Mohammad Marandi about a sharp drop in oil shipments and pressure on Gulf states via Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab.
The discussion covers how chokepoint disruption hits energy markets and regional politics, and what that means for US and Gulf strategy in the wider Middle East conflict.
A concise geopolitics update on oil logistics, Hormuz leverage, and the squeeze on Gulf economies.
Nima Alkhorshid reads Iran's foreign minister answering Donald Trump's endorsement of Benjamin Netanyahu and the claim they will finish the job, then an IRGC brigadier general who said a MOAB strike on Iran would be answered with a father of missiles Iran has not used yet. Larry Wilkerson calls that talk a path toward another round of war, likelier after the November 3 election than before it, and says Egypt's President Sisi would be unwise to send troops to Yemen after Tehran warned of consequences.
Scott Ritter with Nima Alkhorshid on reports that two ships are sinking, one in the Strait of Hormuz and one in the Gulf of Oman, after more than ten vessels were hit. They discuss an Ansarallah announcement of strikes on Aramco headquarters, an Aramco facility, and King Khalid International Airport, and Ritter's view that Iran controls the strait while Saudi attempts to divert oil to the Red Sea have failed.
Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson with Nima Alkhorshid on Dialogue Works — smoke rising near Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, and whether it was a direct hit.
Prof. Seyed Mohammad Marandi with Nima Alkhorshid of Dialogue Works on Iran activating a war economy and military surge as all-out conflict becomes more likely.
